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Every week, estimates of positivity rates and incidence are published in Office for National Statistics bulletins - summarised below.

Information on the data collection method change from study worker home visit to remote data collection

Methods

Representativeness

Weekly swab positivity updates - 2020

Weekly swab positivity updates - Jan-Jun 2021

Weekly swab positivity updates - Jul-Dec 2021

Weekly swab positivity updates - Jan-Jul 2022

30 September 2022 - weekly update

The following points are for the week ending 17 September 2022 for England, and the week ending 20 September 2022 for Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland.

  • The percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) continued to increase in England and Wales, and the trend was uncertain in Northern Ireland and Scotland.

  • In England, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 857,400 (95% credible interval: 801,600 to 914,100), equating to 1.57% of the population, or around 1 in 65 people.

  • In Wales, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 62,900 (95% credible interval: 48,100 to 79,400), equating to 2.07% of the population, or around 1 in 50 people.

  • In Northern Ireland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 23,100 (95% credible interval: 15,300 to 32,400), equating to 1.26% of the population, or around 1 in 80 people.

  • In Scotland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 117,100 (95% credible interval: 93,600 to 143,500), equating to 2.22% of the population, or around 1 in 45 people.

 

26 September 2022 - weekly update

The following points are for the week ending 14 September 2022 for England and Wales, and the week ending 13 September for Northern Ireland and Scotland.

  • The percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) increased in England and Wales, and decreased in Northern Ireland and Scotland.
  • In England, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 766,500 (95% credible interval: 714,800 to 822,400), equating to 1.41% of the population, or around 1 in 70 people.
  • In Wales, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 39,700 (95% credible interval: 29,800 to 51,900), equating to 1.31% of the population, or around 1 in 75 people.
  • In Northern Ireland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 22,900 (95% credible interval: 15,000 to 32,800), equating to 1.25% of the population, or around 1 in 80 people.
  • In Scotland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 98,800 (95% credible interval: 80,300 to 119,100), equating to 1.88% of the population, or around 1 in 55 people.

 

19 September 2022 - weekly update

The following points are for the week ending 5 September 2022 for England, Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland.

  • The percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) continued to decrease in England, trends were uncertain in Wales and Northern Ireland, and the percentage increased in Scotland.

  • In England, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 705,800 (95% credible interval: 657,500 to 755,300), equating to 1.29% of the population, or around 1 in 75 people.

  • In Wales, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 28,200 (95% credible interval: 20,200 to 37,700), equating to 0.93% of the population, or around 1 in 110 people.

  • In Northern Ireland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 33,700 (95% credible interval: 23,800 to 44,800), equating to 1.84% of the population, or around 1 in 55 people.

  • In Scotland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 113,500 (95% credible interval: 93,900 to 136,000), equating to 2.16% of the population, or around 1 in 45 people.

12 September 2022 - weekly update

The following points are for the week ending 28 August 2022 for England, Wales and Scotland, and the week ending 26 August 2022 for Northern Ireland.

  • The percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) continued to decrease in England and Wales, and the trend was uncertain in Northern Ireland and Scotland.

  • In England, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 770,800 (95% credible interval: 706,900 to 838,000), equating to 1.41% of the population, or around 1 in 70 people.

  • In Wales, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 31,500 (95% credible interval: 21,200 to 44,200), equating to 1.04% of the population, or around 1 in 95 people.

  • In Northern Ireland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 38,000 (95% credible interval: 27,100 to 50,900), equating to 2.07% of the population, or around 1 in 50 people.

  • In Scotland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 104,400 (95% credible interval: 81,800 to 129,600), equating to 1.98% of the population, or around 1 in 50 people.

2 September 2022 - weekly update

The following points are for the week ending 23 August 2022.

  • The percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) continued to decrease in all UK countries except Northern Ireland, where the trend was uncertain.

  • In England, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 893,300 (95% credible interval: 837,700 to 952,700), equating to 1.64% of the population, or around 1 in 60 people.

  • In Wales, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 47,300 (95% credible interval: 36,200 to 60,300), equating to 1.56% of the population, or around 1 in 65 people.

  • In Northern Ireland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 35,800 (95% credible interval: 25,500 to 48,200), equating to 1.95% of the population, or around 1 in 50 people.

  • In Scotland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 96,000 (95% credible interval: 77,000 to 117,400), equating to 1.82% of the population, or around 1 in 55 people.

26 August 2022 - weekly update

The following points are for the week ending 16 August 2022.

  • The percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) continued to decrease in all UK countries.

  • In England, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 1,211,100 (95% credible interval: 1,140,200 to 1,285,400), equating to 2.22% of the population, or around 1 in 45 people.

  • In Wales, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 65,500 (95% credible interval: 51,100 to 82,000), equating to 2.15% of the population, or around 1 in 45 people.

  • In Northern Ireland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 26,400 (95% credible interval: 17,400 to 38,300), equating to 1.44% of the population, or around 1 in 70 people.

  • In Scotland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 135,000 (95% credible interval: 111,400 to 161,800), equating to 2.56% of the population, or around 1 in 40 people. 

19 August 2022 - weekly update

The following points are for the week ending 8 August 2022 for Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland, and the week ending 6 August 2022 for England.

  • The percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) continued to decrease in England, Wales and Scotland; and decreased in Northern Ireland.

  • In England, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 1,432,900 (95% credible interval: 1,339,600 to 1,524,800), equating to 2.63% of the population, or around 1 in 40 people.

  • In Wales, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 72,600 (95% credible interval: 54,800 to 93,000), equating to 2.39% of the population, or around 1 in 40 people.

  • In Northern Ireland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 36,600 (95% credible interval: 25,100 to 50,200), equating to 2.00% of the population, or 1 in 50 people.

  • In Scotland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 164,100 (95% credible interval: 137,400 to 193,700), equating to 3.12% of the population, or around 1 in 30 people.

We have now moved to a more flexible remote data collection method. Participants can complete the survey online or by telephone, and swab and blood sample kits are sent through the post (or by courier for some participants). Results for the week ending 8 August 2022 for Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland, and the week ending 6 August 2022 for England are based on both study worker and remote data collection.

5 August 2022 - weekly update

The following points are for the week ending 25 July 2022 for Wales and Northern Ireland, and the week ending 26 July 2022 for England and Scotland.

  • The percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) continued to decrease in England, Wales and Scotland; and the trend remained uncertain in Northern Ireland.

  • In England, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 2,106,000 (95% credible interval: 1,987,200 to 2,234,800), equating to 3.86% of the population, or around 1 in 25 people.

  • In Wales, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 108,800 (95% credible interval: 84,500 to 136,200), equating to 3.58% of the population, or around 1 in 30 people.

  • In Northern Ireland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 109,800 (95% credible interval: 83,500 to 138,300), equating to 5.98% of the population, or around 1 in 17 people.

  • In Scotland, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 260,800 (95% credible interval: 211,900 to 314,700), equating to 4.95% of the population, or around 1 in 20 people.

The results in this bulletin are based on data collected from study workers. We are now moving to an online data collection method and postal returns for swabs and blood samples. As a result of this change, there will be a pause to the publication of our weekly bulletin on Friday 12 August 2022.